Real Murcia vs Real Zaragoza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.7%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
21.9%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 1944 |
CON
1 - 0
MUR
47%
22%
31%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1944 |
MUR
4 - 0
OSA
71%
16%
13%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1944 |
BET
3 - 1
MUR
53%
21%
26%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1944 |
MUR
4 - 1
JFC
64%
18%
18%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1944 |
VAD
1 - 4
MUR
49%
24%
27%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Real Zaragoza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 1944 |
ZAR
2 - 1
ARE
77%
14%
9%
|
72 | 55 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1944 |
ZAR
5 - 1
CON
69%
17%
14%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1944 |
OSA
1 - 1
ZAR
45%
23%
32%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1944 |
ZAR
3 - 1
BET
58%
20%
23%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 1944 |
JFC
1 - 0
ZAR
53%
22%
26%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | -1 |