Real Murcia vs Real Sociedad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.4%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
32.9%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 1948 |
MUR
6 - 2
RCF
42%
22%
36%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1948 |
MAL
8 - 0
MUR
56%
19%
24%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 May. 1948 |
MUR
2 - 2
ESP
41%
24%
36%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | +1 |
| 16 May. 1948 |
ESP
2 - 0
MUR
72%
15%
13%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | -1 |
| 09 May. 1948 |
OVI
2 - 2
MUR
74%
14%
12%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Real Sociedad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 1948 |
MAL
3 - 1
RSO
54%
20%
27%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1948 |
HER
4 - 2
RSO
45%
22%
33%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 Jul. 1948 |
ESP
3 - 1
RSO
64%
18%
18%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 1948 |
RSO
1 - 0
SEV
46%
22%
32%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 1948 |
SEV
7 - 1
RSO
76%
13%
10%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |