Copa del Rey 1/16
Global 3-6
Real Murcia vs Real Oviedo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.1%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.8%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.8%
23%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
35.9%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
8%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 1962 |
VAL
2 - 1
MUR
61%
22%
17%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1962 |
CEU
2 - 1
MUR
48%
28%
25%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 1962 |
SFE
0 - 1
MUR
47%
27%
26%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 1962 |
MUR
4 - 1
VIL
77%
15%
8%
|
61 | 41 | 20 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1962 |
RJA
0 - 0
MUR
58%
23%
19%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Real Oviedo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 1962 |
OVI
0 - 1
ATH
33%
26%
42%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1962 |
FCB
4 - 1
OVI
90%
7%
3%
|
76 | 89 | 13 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 1962 |
OVI
1 - 0
RSO
56%
23%
21%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 1962 |
SEV
3 - 1
OVI
64%
19%
17%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1962 |
OVI
2 - 1
RAC
55%
23%
22%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |