Copa del Rey 1/16
Global 4-2
Real Murcia vs Real Oviedo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.5%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.6%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.4%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.2%
23%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
41.5%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 1948 |
MUR
5 - 0
VAL
67%
18%
16%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1948 |
MUR
3 - 0
LEV
41%
22%
38%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | +2 |
| 11 Apr. 1948 |
GRA
4 - 3
MUR
53%
21%
26%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 1948 |
MUR
2 - 1
MLL
56%
22%
23%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 1948 |
VAD
5 - 3
MUR
59%
21%
20%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Real Oviedo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 1948 |
OVI
4 - 1
DEP
74%
15%
12%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1948 |
CUL
0 - 4
OVI
20%
21%
59%
|
80 | 43 | 37 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1948 |
RMA
2 - 0
OVI
64%
18%
18%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1948 |
OVI
6 - 2
GIM
65%
18%
18%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1948 |
ALC
3 - 1
OVI
42%
22%
36%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |