Real Murcia vs Real Oviedo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.5%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.6%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
56.1%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
8%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.7%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 1940 |
ESP
2 - 1
MUR
87%
8%
5%
|
59 | 81 | 22 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1940 |
MUR
1 - 1
ATM
27%
24%
49%
|
58 | 80 | 22 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 1940 |
HER
4 - 0
MUR
78%
13%
9%
|
59 | 79 | 20 | -1 |
| 19 May. 1940 |
RMA
2 - 0
MUR
86%
9%
5%
|
59 | 89 | 30 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1940 |
MUR
0 - 4
RMA
27%
22%
51%
|
60 | 89 | 29 | -1 |
Matches
Real Oviedo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 1940 |
OVI
4 - 3
CEL
76%
13%
11%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1940 |
OVI
0 - 4
SEV
65%
17%
18%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 1940 |
ESP
5 - 0
OVI
58%
19%
23%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1936 |
OVI
5 - 4
OSA
76%
13%
11%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1936 |
OSA
5 - 1
OVI
48%
20%
32%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | -1 |