Copa del Rey Last 16
Global 3-3
Real Murcia vs Real Oviedo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.1%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.7%
1-0
4%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.8%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.1%
48.8%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
4.8%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
6%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
14.6%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
8.2%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 1941 |
OVI
2 - 1
MUR
87%
8%
5%
|
61 | 78 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1941 |
DEP
2 - 1
MUR
67%
17%
16%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1941 |
MUR
2 - 2
CAR
80%
12%
8%
|
62 | 46 | 16 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 1941 |
CAR
1 - 2
MUR
34%
23%
43%
|
61 | 46 | 15 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 1941 |
ZAR
2 - 1
MUR
72%
16%
13%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Real Oviedo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 1941 |
OVI
2 - 1
MUR
87%
8%
5%
|
78 | 61 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1941 |
OVI
3 - 2
SPO
83%
10%
7%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1941 |
SPO
1 - 4
OVI
38%
21%
41%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 1941 |
ATM
3 - 0
OVI
68%
16%
16%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 1941 |
OVI
6 - 0
HER
69%
16%
16%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | +1 |