Real Murcia vs Real Oviedo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.2%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.9%
23.9%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 1931 |
DEP
0 - 1
MUR
57%
20%
23%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1931 |
MUR
4 - 0
DEP
58%
20%
22%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 1931 |
ISC
1 - 2
MUR
61%
19%
20%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 1931 |
MUR
4 - 1
SPO
43%
23%
34%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 1931 |
MUR
1 - 2
VCF
38%
23%
38%
|
57 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Real Oviedo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 1931 |
OVI
2 - 2
CAS
71%
16%
13%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1931 |
BET
3 - 2
OVI
57%
20%
23%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1931 |
OVI
4 - 1
DEP
67%
17%
16%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1931 |
ISC
2 - 1
OVI
49%
22%
29%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1931 |
VCF
5 - 2
OVI
59%
19%
22%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | -1 |