Real Murcia vs Real Madrid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.5%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.5%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.4%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
50.9%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
9%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.5%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.5%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 1986 |
RMC
0 - 3
MUR
53%
25%
22%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1986 |
MUR
0 - 0
RAY
72%
17%
11%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1986 |
REC
2 - 0
MUR
49%
27%
25%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 1986 |
MUR
3 - 1
CFC
72%
18%
10%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 1986 |
ELC
0 - 0
MUR
44%
28%
28%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 1986 |
RMA
0 - 4
FCB
58%
22%
20%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1986 |
FCB
2 - 2
RMA
57%
23%
20%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1986 |
KOL
2 - 0
RMA
49%
23%
29%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1986 |
RMA
5 - 1
KOL
78%
13%
9%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1986 |
RSO
5 - 3
RMA
35%
26%
39%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |