Real Murcia vs Real Madrid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.7%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.3%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
3%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.9%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.3%
66.9%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
15.7%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.5%
0-2
14.5%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.9%
0-3
8.9%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
11.8%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 1964 |
ESP
1 - 0
MUR
63%
21%
16%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1964 |
MUR
1 - 1
SEV
35%
25%
40%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1964 |
ATH
1 - 2
MUR
79%
13%
7%
|
70 | 84 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1964 |
MUR
1 - 1
LEV
50%
24%
26%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 1964 |
UDL
0 - 0
MUR
51%
25%
24%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 1964 |
DUK
2 - 2
RMA
25%
24%
52%
|
94 | 78 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1964 |
RMA
2 - 0
DEP
90%
7%
4%
|
94 | 68 | 26 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1964 |
ATM
0 - 1
RMA
32%
25%
43%
|
94 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1964 |
RMA
4 - 0
DUK
88%
8%
4%
|
94 | 79 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1964 |
RMA
4 - 1
FCB
77%
13%
10%
|
93 | 88 | 5 | +1 |