Real Murcia vs Real Madrid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.1%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.4%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
36.2%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 1945 |
SPO
4 - 1
MUR
58%
20%
22%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1945 |
OVI
3 - 2
MUR
74%
14%
12%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 1945 |
MUR
2 - 0
SAB
62%
19%
20%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 1945 |
CAS
2 - 1
MUR
61%
20%
20%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1945 |
MUR
2 - 0
GRA
47%
22%
31%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 1945 |
RMA
8 - 0
SAB
81%
12%
7%
|
86 | 70 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1945 |
CAS
0 - 3
RMA
45%
24%
32%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1945 |
RMA
6 - 2
GRA
76%
14%
10%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1945 |
FCB
5 - 0
RMA
63%
19%
19%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1945 |
RMA
3 - 1
ATM
67%
17%
16%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |