Copa del Rey Last 16
Global 0-3
Real Murcia vs Real Madrid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.3%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.7%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.5%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
50.5%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
6%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 1931 |
RMA
3 - 0
MUR
78%
13%
9%
|
61 | 83 | 22 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1931 |
MUR
2 - 1
DEP
62%
19%
20%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1931 |
MUR
3 - 2
OVI
56%
20%
24%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 1931 |
DEP
0 - 1
MUR
57%
20%
23%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 1931 |
MUR
4 - 0
DEP
58%
20%
22%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 1931 |
RMA
3 - 0
MUR
78%
13%
9%
|
83 | 61 | 22 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1931 |
ECS
2 - 5
RMA
13%
19%
67%
|
83 | 8 | 75 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1931 |
RMA
4 - 0
ECS
88%
8%
4%
|
83 | 8 | 75 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1931 |
FCB
3 - 1
RMA
67%
18%
15%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1931 |
RMA
2 - 0
RSO
60%
21%
19%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |