Real Murcia vs Real Jaén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.3%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
24.7%
19%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2002 |
BUR
0 - 1
MUR
39%
29%
32%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2002 |
MUR
0 - 0
RAC
25%
26%
49%
|
66 | 82 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2002 |
EXT
0 - 2
MUR
54%
25%
20%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2002 |
MUR
1 - 1
OVI
29%
27%
44%
|
64 | 79 | 15 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2002 |
GIM
1 - 1
MUR
47%
27%
26%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2002 |
RJA
0 - 1
ELC
32%
29%
39%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2002 |
CCF
2 - 1
RJA
61%
23%
16%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2002 |
RJA
1 - 0
ALB
32%
29%
39%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2002 |
NUM
1 - 0
RJA
65%
22%
14%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2002 |
RJA
0 - 1
CDB
46%
29%
25%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |