Real Murcia vs Real Jaén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.1%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
18.4%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 1962 |
VAL
0 - 0
MUR
62%
22%
17%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1962 |
MUR
2 - 0
SEV
80%
13%
8%
|
57 | 41 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1962 |
UDL
1 - 0
MUR
64%
21%
15%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 1962 |
MUR
3 - 1
ELD
75%
15%
10%
|
58 | 36 | 22 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1962 |
MAL
2 - 0
MUR
72%
18%
11%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 1962 |
RJA
0 - 0
LEV
57%
22%
21%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1962 |
UDL
1 - 0
RJA
63%
21%
16%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 1962 |
RJA
1 - 1
REC
62%
21%
17%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1962 |
HER
1 - 0
RJA
67%
18%
14%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1962 |
RJA
6 - 2
VIL
82%
11%
7%
|
56 | 37 | 19 | 0 |