Real Murcia vs Real Jaén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.4%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.4%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
21.3%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 1959 |
CDB
2 - 1
MUR
59%
22%
19%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1959 |
MUR
1 - 1
VAL
71%
18%
12%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1959 |
MUR
0 - 1
FCB
10%
17%
73%
|
59 | 91 | 32 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1959 |
FCB
2 - 2
MUR
97%
3%
1%
|
58 | 91 | 33 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 1959 |
MUR
2 - 2
SFE
64%
20%
16%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 1959 |
RJA
1 - 2
REC
77%
14%
9%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1959 |
CEU
2 - 1
RJA
47%
24%
29%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1959 |
RJA
0 - 1
CDB
70%
17%
13%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 1959 |
ELD
5 - 1
RJA
46%
25%
30%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 1959 |
RJA
5 - 1
SFE
71%
17%
12%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | +1 |