Segunda Playoffs Final
Global 4-1
Real Murcia vs Rayo Vallecano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.2%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.2%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.5%
13.3%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 1988 |
ZAR
2 - 1
MUR
66%
21%
14%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1988 |
MUR
0 - 0
SPO
44%
28%
27%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 May. 1988 |
RMA
3 - 1
MUR
88%
9%
3%
|
76 | 90 | 14 | -1 |
| 01 May. 1988 |
MUR
1 - 1
VAD
46%
26%
27%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1988 |
RSO
0 - 1
MUR
77%
16%
7%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Rayo Vallecano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 1988 |
RAY
2 - 1
RBU
66%
20%
14%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1988 |
MAL
1 - 3
RAY
70%
19%
12%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 May. 1988 |
RAY
3 - 2
ELC
50%
25%
25%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | +1 |
| 01 May. 1988 |
OVI
3 - 0
RAY
59%
23%
18%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 1988 |
RAY
3 - 3
RMC
54%
23%
22%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |