Real Murcia vs Rayo Vallecano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.5%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.3%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.4%
11%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 1986 |
REC
2 - 0
MUR
49%
27%
25%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1986 |
MUR
3 - 1
CFC
72%
18%
10%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 1986 |
ELC
0 - 0
MUR
44%
28%
28%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1986 |
MUR
0 - 2
SAB
66%
20%
14%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 1986 |
ATH
1 - 0
MUR
46%
26%
27%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Rayo Vallecano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 1986 |
RAY
2 - 0
CDT
52%
26%
22%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1986 |
OVI
2 - 1
RAY
54%
26%
20%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1986 |
RAY
1 - 2
DEP
54%
26%
20%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 1986 |
RMC
1 - 0
RAY
60%
23%
17%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1986 |
RAY
3 - 0
ALB
61%
24%
15%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |