Real Murcia vs Racing Ferrol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.3%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
18.9%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
MUR
4 - 1
CDE
65%
22%
14%
|
59 | 46 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2017 |
MUR
3 - 1
CPC
67%
21%
12%
|
58 | 44 | 14 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
REC
1 - 1
MUR
27%
29%
45%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
MUR
0 - 1
ECI
73%
18%
9%
|
59 | 37 | 22 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
LOR
1 - 1
MUR
37%
25%
38%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Racing Ferrol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
RCF
1 - 1
DEP
71%
18%
12%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
PON
0 - 0
RCF
56%
24%
19%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
RCF
1 - 0
COX
69%
19%
12%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2017 |
RCF
1 - 4
DEP
8%
17%
75%
|
52 | 82 | 30 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2017 |
RCF
0 - 0
CEL
11%
20%
69%
|
52 | 86 | 34 | 0 |