Copa del Rey 1/16
Global 4-3
Real Murcia vs Puertollano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.9%
Win probability
2.77
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.7%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.8%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.6%
10.6%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 1965 |
MUR
0 - 0
OVI
49%
25%
27%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1965 |
ELC
2 - 0
MUR
72%
17%
11%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 1965 |
MUR
0 - 1
CCF
45%
25%
30%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1965 |
RMA
4 - 1
MUR
90%
7%
3%
|
73 | 93 | 20 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1965 |
MUR
1 - 0
ESP
47%
25%
27%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Puertollano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 1965 |
MLL
3 - 1
PUE
64%
21%
15%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1965 |
PUE
1 - 1
ALG
66%
19%
14%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1965 |
PUE
2 - 1
CDT
67%
20%
14%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 1965 |
MEL
0 - 2
PUE
48%
26%
26%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1965 |
PUE
1 - 1
VAL
55%
23%
22%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | +1 |