Real Murcia vs Puente Genil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
89.4%
Win probability
3.59
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.5%
8-0
1%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.3%
7-0
2.2%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
+7
3%
6-0
4.4%
7-1
1.4%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
6%
5-0
7.3%
6-1
2.8%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
<0%
+5
10.5%
4-0
10.1%
5-1
4.6%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
15.7%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.4%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
14%
7.2%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
3.3%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
7.2%
3.2%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
0.9%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
2.5%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 1956 |
GRA
4 - 2
MUR
53%
23%
24%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 1956 |
MUR
4 - 1
OVI
59%
19%
23%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Jun. 1956 |
BET
0 - 1
MUR
55%
21%
25%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 1956 |
MUR
1 - 1
CDC
73%
15%
13%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 1956 |
MUR
3 - 2
ALA
67%
17%
17%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Puente Genil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 1956 |
PUE
1 - 1
MAL
36%
24%
40%
|
32 | 62 | 30 | 0 |