Real Murcia vs CD Ourense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.3%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.2%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.9%
9.9%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 1969 |
RAY
3 - 2
MUR
63%
23%
14%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1969 |
MUR
2 - 2
MAL
35%
29%
35%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1969 |
CCF
0 - 0
MUR
68%
21%
11%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1969 |
MUR
1 - 1
OSA
62%
23%
16%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1969 |
VAD
1 - 1
MUR
66%
21%
13%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
CD Ourense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 1969 |
CDO
1 - 1
ESP
21%
30%
49%
|
47 | 77 | 30 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1969 |
CDO
1 - 0
CAS
43%
29%
29%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 1969 |
RAY
2 - 0
CDO
80%
15%
6%
|
46 | 66 | 20 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1969 |
CDO
3 - 0
MAL
20%
29%
51%
|
44 | 73 | 29 | +2 |
| 16 Nov. 1969 |
CCF
2 - 1
CDO
79%
16%
6%
|
45 | 73 | 28 | -1 |