Real Murcia vs AD Mérida analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.8%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.4%
1-0
15.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.1%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
20.2%
10.7%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+43%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
MUR
2 - 3
ALC
52%
25%
23%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2016 |
MUR
4 - 1
ROD
70%
19%
11%
|
61 | 43 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
MAR
0 - 1
MUR
14%
24%
63%
|
61 | 31 | 30 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2016 |
MUR
3 - 0
FUE
64%
21%
15%
|
61 | 47 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2016 |
TOR
0 - 4
MUR
13%
24%
63%
|
61 | 32 | 29 | 0 |
Matches
AD Mérida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2016 |
MAD
1 - 0
RMC
30%
25%
45%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
MAD
3 - 3
ALM
67%
21%
13%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
SEV
1 - 2
MAD
67%
20%
12%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
MAD
1 - 1
BAL
37%
26%
37%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
CAD
0 - 1
MAD
74%
18%
8%
|
48 | 63 | 15 | +1 |