Real Murcia vs UD Melilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.6%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
24.6%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
CSP
1 - 2
MUR
22%
26%
52%
|
50 | 36 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
HER
3 - 0
MUR
40%
29%
31%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
MUR
1 - 2
ELD
68%
20%
12%
|
52 | 38 | 14 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
NUC
1 - 2
MUR
39%
30%
31%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
MUR
1 - 1
CDE
65%
21%
14%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
UD Melilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
MEL
1 - 2
HER
35%
29%
36%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
ELD
2 - 1
MEL
23%
26%
50%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
MEL
1 - 0
NUC
38%
28%
34%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
CDE
3 - 1
MEL
26%
27%
47%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | -2 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
MEL
1 - 0
LEV
49%
26%
25%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | +1 |