Real Murcia vs UD Melilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.2%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
18.5%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 1954 |
UDL
1 - 0
MUR
67%
19%
15%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1954 |
CDT
1 - 0
MUR
68%
18%
15%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1954 |
XER
1 - 1
MUR
64%
19%
17%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 1954 |
MUR
3 - 1
BAL
60%
20%
20%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 1954 |
MUR
4 - 0
ALC
60%
21%
19%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | +2 |
Matches
UD Melilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 1954 |
ALC
1 - 0
MEL
64%
18%
18%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1954 |
MEL
4 - 2
VAL
59%
21%
20%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 1954 |
MLL
1 - 1
MEL
66%
18%
16%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1954 |
CAS
5 - 2
MEL
61%
20%
19%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 1954 |
MEL
1 - 0
CDT
52%
22%
25%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |