Segunda B Playoffs Quarter-finals
Global 2-1
Real Murcia vs CD Lugo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.3%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.8%
14.2%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2011 |
PUE
1 - 3
MUR
14%
25%
61%
|
72 | 51 | 21 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
MUR
2 - 1
JUM
85%
12%
3%
|
72 | 31 | 41 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
CFB
2 - 1
MUR
18%
25%
57%
|
72 | 51 | 21 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2011 |
MUR
3 - 1
LOR
79%
16%
5%
|
72 | 42 | 30 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
LUC
0 - 0
MUR
17%
25%
58%
|
73 | 52 | 21 | -1 |
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2011 |
LUG
1 - 0
PON
64%
22%
15%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
EXT
3 - 1
LUG
15%
22%
63%
|
56 | 36 | 20 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
LUG
2 - 0
CEL
63%
21%
16%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2011 |
ULP
3 - 1
LUG
33%
27%
40%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | -2 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
LUG
0 - 0
COX
70%
19%
11%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | 0 |