Copa del Rey 1/16
Global 3-7
Real Murcia vs Levante analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.6%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
5%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.8%
21.6%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 1947 |
MUR
1 - 2
ESP
43%
23%
34%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1947 |
ATH
6 - 2
MUR
85%
9%
5%
|
69 | 86 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1947 |
MUR
1 - 0
DEP
55%
22%
23%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1947 |
MUR
0 - 0
OVI
30%
23%
47%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 1947 |
ATM
2 - 2
MUR
84%
10%
6%
|
68 | 84 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Levante
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 1947 |
ALC
5 - 2
LEV
61%
18%
22%
|
62 | 77 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1947 |
LEV
1 - 0
ZAR
70%
16%
14%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 1947 |
GRA
1 - 2
LEV
55%
20%
25%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 1947 |
LEV
4 - 1
GIM
55%
22%
23%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 1947 |
BAR
5 - 1
LEV
58%
19%
22%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | -1 |