Real Murcia vs Leganés analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.7%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.9%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
2.5%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
8.4%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
22.6%
66.7%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
18.5%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.9%
0-2
15.8%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
21%
0-3
9%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.2%
-3
11.2%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 2020 |
MUR
2 - 2
SEV
48%
28%
25%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2019 |
CDB
0 - 0
MUR
47%
28%
25%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2019 |
MUR
1 - 0
RAC
22%
25%
53%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2019 |
MUR
0 - 1
YEC
52%
27%
21%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2019 |
MUR
2 - 0
CAR
28%
31%
41%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Leganés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 2020 |
VAD
2 - 2
LEG
51%
27%
23%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2019 |
LEG
2 - 0
ESP
32%
26%
42%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2019 |
FCA
1 - 1
LEG
7%
20%
73%
|
79 | 42 | 37 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2019 |
ALA
1 - 1
LEG
51%
27%
22%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2019 |
LEG
3 - 2
CEL
30%
26%
45%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |