Real Murcia vs Jumilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.1%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.4%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.3%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.5%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
9%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.2%
10.7%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
MAD
0 - 2
MUR
22%
27%
51%
|
62 | 46 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
MUR
1 - 0
ALM
59%
25%
16%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
SEV
1 - 0
MUR
31%
28%
41%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
MUR
2 - 1
BAL
57%
25%
18%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
CAD
0 - 1
MUR
51%
25%
23%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Jumilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
JUM
1 - 1
LOR
18%
26%
57%
|
38 | 54 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
VIL
0 - 1
JUM
70%
19%
11%
|
37 | 56 | 19 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
JUM
0 - 4
MAR
17%
23%
60%
|
37 | 51 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
JUM
1 - 0
GRA
16%
26%
58%
|
36 | 56 | 20 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
CAR
2 - 0
JUM
63%
21%
16%
|
36 | 48 | 12 | 0 |