Real Murcia vs Jumilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.3%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.2%
+6
2.2%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
5.4%
4-0
9.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
11.2%
3-0
16%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.2%
+3
18.9%
2-0
19.6%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
24.4%
1-0
16%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
<0%
+1
22.1%
11.8%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
0.8%
3-3
0.1%
0
11.8%
2.9%
Win probability
0.28
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
0.6%
2-3
0.1%
-1
2.5%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2011 |
CFB
2 - 1
MUR
18%
25%
57%
|
72 | 51 | 21 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2011 |
MUR
3 - 1
LOR
79%
16%
5%
|
72 | 42 | 30 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
LUC
0 - 0
MUR
17%
25%
58%
|
73 | 52 | 21 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
MUR
1 - 0
ECI
78%
16%
7%
|
72 | 51 | 21 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
SRQ
0 - 2
MUR
18%
26%
56%
|
72 | 54 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Jumilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
JUM
1 - 0
ALC
17%
25%
58%
|
27 | 47 | 20 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2011 |
RJA
2 - 0
JUM
70%
21%
9%
|
27 | 57 | 30 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
JUM
1 - 3
CAD
11%
21%
68%
|
27 | 63 | 36 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
ROQ
5 - 1
JUM
80%
14%
6%
|
28 | 54 | 26 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
JUM
2 - 3
SEV
14%
24%
63%
|
28 | 60 | 32 | 0 |