Real Murcia vs Jerez Industrial analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.2%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.5%
10.3%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 1969 |
PUE
1 - 0
MUR
59%
24%
17%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1969 |
MUR
1 - 1
ALC
60%
24%
16%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1969 |
SDI
3 - 1
MUR
34%
29%
38%
|
64 | 49 | 15 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 1969 |
MUR
1 - 1
VAL
53%
25%
22%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 1969 |
VAD
1 - 1
MUR
62%
22%
16%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Jerez Industrial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 1969 |
JER
0 - 0
ELC
54%
23%
23%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1969 |
BUR
1 - 0
JER
73%
17%
10%
|
47 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1969 |
JER
0 - 2
CEL
26%
30%
44%
|
47 | 75 | 28 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1969 |
SEV
2 - 0
JER
82%
13%
5%
|
48 | 78 | 30 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 1969 |
JER
4 - 1
SPO
23%
27%
50%
|
45 | 68 | 23 | +3 |