Real Murcia vs Jerez FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.9%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.7%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
18.2%
17.9%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 1944 |
VAD
1 - 4
MUR
49%
24%
27%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1944 |
MUR
3 - 2
HER
52%
20%
27%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 1944 |
BAR
1 - 0
MUR
48%
23%
29%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 1944 |
MUR
2 - 0
SDC
62%
18%
19%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 1944 |
SPO
1 - 0
MUR
62%
18%
19%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Jerez FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 1944 |
JFC
1 - 0
ZAR
53%
22%
26%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1944 |
CON
2 - 0
JFC
57%
20%
22%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 1944 |
JFC
3 - 0
OSA
65%
18%
16%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 1944 |
BET
1 - 1
JFC
61%
20%
20%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1944 |
ARE
2 - 0
JFC
41%
25%
34%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | -1 |