Real Murcia vs Jerez FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.2%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.5%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.6%
12.4%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 1942 |
ELC
1 - 0
MUR
32%
25%
43%
|
63 | 48 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1942 |
MUR
2 - 3
MAL
69%
18%
13%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 1942 |
CAD
2 - 3
MUR
55%
21%
24%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 1942 |
MUR
3 - 0
HER
39%
23%
38%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 1942 |
ALC
1 - 3
MUR
48%
22%
29%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Jerez FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 1942 |
JFC
2 - 1
SDC
52%
22%
26%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1942 |
JFC
4 - 1
ELC
69%
16%
15%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1942 |
MAL
3 - 1
JFC
68%
18%
14%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 1942 |
JFC
1 - 1
CAD
58%
20%
22%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1942 |
HER
1 - 1
JFC
78%
14%
9%
|
55 | 72 | 17 | +1 |