Real Murcia vs Jerez FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.8%
Win probability
2.6
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.2%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.2%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.5%
13.7%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 1936 |
MUR
2 - 0
LEV
77%
14%
10%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1936 |
MAL
0 - 1
MUR
43%
23%
34%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1936 |
MUR
4 - 1
CAD
73%
15%
12%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 Dec. 1935 |
ELC
2 - 4
MUR
43%
23%
34%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 1935 |
GIM
1 - 1
MUR
29%
24%
47%
|
63 | 45 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
Jerez FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 1936 |
JFC
5 - 0
ELC
77%
14%
9%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1936 |
LEV
2 - 0
JFC
52%
22%
26%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 1936 |
JFC
2 - 0
GIM
82%
12%
7%
|
62 | 47 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1935 |
MAL
2 - 1
JFC
47%
23%
30%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 1935 |
GRA
0 - 1
JFC
52%
22%
26%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | +1 |