Real Murcia vs Hércules analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.4%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
22.3%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.5%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 1954 |
CAT
0 - 0
MUR
73%
16%
12%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1954 |
MAL
5 - 0
MUR
77%
14%
9%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 1954 |
MUR
2 - 1
UDE
64%
19%
17%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 1954 |
MUR
4 - 2
MEL
62%
19%
19%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1954 |
UDL
1 - 0
MUR
67%
19%
15%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 1954 |
HER
0 - 0
MAL
47%
23%
29%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1954 |
HER
2 - 0
CAT
59%
21%
20%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 1954 |
MEL
2 - 0
HER
51%
23%
26%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 1954 |
UDE
2 - 1
HER
49%
23%
28%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 1954 |
HER
3 - 0
CDT
62%
20%
18%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | +1 |