Real Murcia vs Hércules analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.9%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.5%
30.6%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 1949 |
MUR
3 - 0
CAS
54%
21%
25%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1949 |
GRA
1 - 0
MUR
59%
20%
21%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1949 |
MUR
4 - 2
RCD
61%
20%
19%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 1949 |
LEV
1 - 1
MUR
65%
17%
18%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 1949 |
HER
8 - 2
MUR
57%
20%
23%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 1949 |
HER
1 - 3
GRA
53%
21%
26%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1949 |
RCD
2 - 1
HER
43%
23%
35%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 1949 |
HER
3 - 2
LEV
63%
18%
19%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1949 |
ALC
3 - 1
HER
51%
21%
28%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 1949 |
HER
8 - 2
MUR
57%
20%
23%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |