Real Murcia vs Hércules analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.4%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.1%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
9%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.9%
32.7%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 1947 |
RCD
0 - 0
MUR
49%
23%
29%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1947 |
MUR
4 - 1
BAR
64%
19%
16%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | +2 |
| 21 Sep. 1947 |
LEV
3 - 3
MUR
69%
16%
15%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Jun. 1947 |
RSO
2 - 0
MUR
70%
17%
14%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1947 |
LEV
4 - 2
MUR
67%
16%
17%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 1947 |
HER
4 - 0
VAL
80%
12%
8%
|
72 | 49 | 23 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1947 |
BAD
1 - 3
HER
25%
24%
52%
|
70 | 43 | 27 | +2 |
| 21 Sep. 1947 |
HER
3 - 0
MAL
69%
19%
13%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | +2 |
| 27 Apr. 1947 |
HER
4 - 3
ATM
28%
23%
50%
|
66 | 84 | 18 | +2 |
| 20 Apr. 1947 |
ATM
3 - 0
HER
83%
10%
7%
|
67 | 84 | 17 | -1 |