Real Murcia vs Hércules analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.9%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
5%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
19%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19%
22%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 1945 |
FCB
1 - 1
MUR
82%
11%
7%
|
69 | 86 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1945 |
MUR
0 - 3
OVI
33%
21%
46%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 1945 |
RMA
3 - 1
MUR
81%
12%
8%
|
70 | 86 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1945 |
VCF
2 - 0
MUR
82%
11%
7%
|
71 | 86 | 15 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 1945 |
MUR
0 - 0
ATH
37%
23%
40%
|
71 | 86 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 1945 |
HER
2 - 1
VCF
24%
25%
51%
|
67 | 86 | 19 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1945 |
ATH
6 - 0
HER
82%
11%
7%
|
67 | 86 | 19 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1945 |
HER
3 - 2
ATM
21%
21%
58%
|
66 | 84 | 18 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 1945 |
ALC
3 - 1
HER
61%
19%
21%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 1945 |
HER
0 - 0
ESP
32%
24%
45%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | 0 |