Copa del Rey 1/16
Global 3-0
Real Murcia vs Hércules analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.7%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
17.3%
18%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 1944 |
HER
0 - 1
MUR
48%
23%
29%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1944 |
MUR
4 - 1
ZAR
58%
20%
22%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 1944 |
CON
1 - 0
MUR
47%
22%
31%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1944 |
MUR
4 - 0
OSA
71%
16%
13%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1944 |
BET
3 - 1
MUR
53%
21%
26%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 1944 |
HER
0 - 1
MUR
48%
23%
29%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1944 |
ARE
4 - 0
HER
37%
24%
39%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | -2 |
| 02 Apr. 1944 |
HER
2 - 1
BAR
65%
20%
16%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1944 |
SDC
2 - 1
HER
49%
21%
30%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1944 |
HER
0 - 2
SPO
45%
22%
33%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | -1 |