Real Murcia vs Hércules analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.2%
Win probability
2.65
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.4%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
8%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.2%
13.6%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+57%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 1935 |
ELC
1 - 1
MUR
37%
23%
40%
|
66 | 53 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 1935 |
LEV
3 - 1
MUR
27%
23%
51%
|
66 | 44 | 22 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1935 |
MUR
3 - 2
MAL
84%
10%
6%
|
66 | 51 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 1934 |
MUR
4 - 1
CAS
78%
13%
9%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1934 |
GIM
4 - 2
MUR
21%
22%
57%
|
66 | 38 | 28 | 0 |
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 1935 |
HER
1 - 0
GIM
84%
10%
6%
|
63 | 39 | 24 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 1935 |
HER
3 - 0
GRA
66%
18%
16%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 1935 |
CAS
0 - 1
HER
51%
22%
27%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 1934 |
HER
2 - 1
ELC
76%
14%
10%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 1934 |
HER
4 - 0
LEV
82%
11%
7%
|
61 | 42 | 19 | 0 |