Real Murcia vs Granada analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.9%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
30.8%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 1948 |
BAR
3 - 0
MUR
59%
20%
21%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1948 |
GIR
2 - 1
MUR
30%
25%
45%
|
67 | 47 | 20 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1948 |
MUR
1 - 3
LEV
45%
21%
33%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 1948 |
BAD
3 - 0
MUR
45%
23%
32%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 1948 |
MUR
3 - 0
RSO
44%
23%
33%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Granada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 1948 |
GRA
1 - 0
MAL
51%
22%
27%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1948 |
HER
3 - 3
GRA
56%
20%
24%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1948 |
GRA
4 - 2
VAL
72%
16%
12%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 1948 |
SPO
2 - 0
GRA
60%
19%
21%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 1948 |
GRA
3 - 0
RAC
62%
20%
18%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | +1 |