Real Murcia vs Girona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.8%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.1%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.6%
12.6%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 1949 |
LEV
2 - 2
MUR
63%
18%
19%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1949 |
MUR
1 - 2
BAD
63%
19%
19%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 1949 |
RSO
7 - 0
MUR
65%
18%
17%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 Jan. 1949 |
RCF
2 - 3
MUR
54%
21%
25%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1949 |
MUR
2 - 3
ALB
82%
12%
7%
|
68 | 43 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Girona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 1949 |
GIR
2 - 2
MAL
44%
24%
32%
|
54 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1949 |
HER
2 - 0
GIR
77%
14%
10%
|
54 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1949 |
GIR
2 - 1
VAL
57%
21%
23%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Jan. 1949 |
SPO
2 - 0
GIR
78%
13%
9%
|
54 | 71 | 17 | -1 |
| 01 Jan. 1949 |
SAB
2 - 4
GIR
83%
11%
6%
|
52 | 70 | 18 | +2 |