Real Murcia vs Gimnàstic Tarragona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.3%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
23%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
17.6%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2012 |
ALC
1 - 3
MUR
27%
27%
46%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
MUR
2 - 2
GUA
64%
21%
15%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
ALC
3 - 0
MUR
62%
23%
16%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
MUR
1 - 0
SAB
64%
21%
14%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
FCB
1 - 0
MUR
67%
19%
14%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Gimnàstic Tarragona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2012 |
GIM
1 - 1
GIR
33%
27%
40%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2012 |
CCF
4 - 2
GIM
68%
21%
12%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
REC
2 - 2
GIM
63%
24%
14%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
GIM
2 - 0
ALC
50%
26%
24%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
GUA
1 - 0
GIM
43%
27%
30%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | -1 |