Real Murcia vs Gimnàstic Tarragona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.2%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
+4
9.3%
3-0
12.6%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.7%
2-0
16.1%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.3%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.3%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14.8%
6.1%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 1976 |
TER
2 - 2
MUR
35%
29%
36%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1976 |
MUR
2 - 1
ALA
75%
17%
8%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1976 |
MUR
3 - 1
UES
65%
22%
13%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 1976 |
REC
3 - 0
MUR
51%
24%
25%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 1976 |
RAY
2 - 1
MUR
51%
26%
23%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Gimnàstic Tarragona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 1976 |
GIM
0 - 2
ENS
60%
25%
15%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1976 |
MAL
4 - 0
GIM
69%
21%
10%
|
55 | 77 | 22 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1976 |
PEG
1 - 0
GIM
43%
26%
31%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 1976 |
CAD
0 - 0
GIM
75%
17%
8%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1976 |
GIM
0 - 0
CAS
33%
29%
38%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | +1 |