Real Murcia vs Espanyol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.4%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
12%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
28%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 1989 |
MUR
3 - 2
REC
65%
19%
16%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1989 |
MAL
1 - 3
MUR
59%
23%
18%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 1989 |
REC
3 - 1
MUR
51%
23%
26%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 1989 |
CAD
0 - 2
MUR
55%
25%
20%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1989 |
MUR
1 - 1
ATH
40%
29%
31%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Espanyol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 1989 |
ESP
1 - 0
MAL
71%
17%
12%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1989 |
ESP
2 - 2
FCB
28%
29%
43%
|
79 | 89 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1989 |
MAL
0 - 0
ESP
47%
23%
30%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 1989 |
ESP
0 - 1
VAD
56%
24%
20%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 1989 |
BET
2 - 2
ESP
49%
26%
25%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |