Real Murcia vs Espanyol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.7%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.7%
27.5%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 1975 |
MUR
1 - 0
BUR
70%
16%
14%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1975 |
UDL
5 - 0
MUR
65%
22%
13%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 1975 |
MUR
3 - 1
ATM
35%
30%
35%
|
66 | 85 | 19 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 1975 |
BUR
3 - 1
MUR
59%
21%
20%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 1975 |
SLA
3 - 0
MUR
54%
27%
20%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Espanyol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 1975 |
CAD
0 - 0
ESP
43%
25%
33%
|
79 | 62 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1975 |
ESP
2 - 1
ELC
69%
20%
11%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1975 |
GRA
0 - 0
ESP
47%
27%
26%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1975 |
ESP
2 - 1
CAD
76%
15%
10%
|
79 | 63 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1975 |
ESP
1 - 0
BET
61%
23%
17%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |