Real Murcia vs Espanyol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.1%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.8%
26.1%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 1944 |
RMA
2 - 1
MUR
75%
14%
11%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1944 |
MUR
2 - 2
SPO
63%
18%
19%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1944 |
MUR
5 - 1
OVI
38%
21%
41%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 1944 |
SAB
4 - 0
MUR
52%
21%
27%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 1944 |
MUR
2 - 0
CAS
46%
21%
33%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Espanyol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 1944 |
ESP
1 - 3
SAB
67%
17%
16%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1944 |
CAS
2 - 0
ESP
58%
20%
23%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1944 |
ESP
7 - 2
GRA
59%
19%
22%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1944 |
FCB
1 - 0
ESP
75%
14%
11%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1944 |
ESP
0 - 3
ATM
49%
22%
30%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |