Copa del Rey Quarter-finals
Global 7-4
Real Murcia vs Espanyol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.1%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.3%
29.6%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 1944 |
OVI
1 - 3
MUR
81%
11%
8%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1944 |
MUR
1 - 2
OVI
44%
22%
35%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1944 |
MUR
2 - 0
HER
65%
17%
18%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 1944 |
HER
0 - 1
MUR
48%
23%
29%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1944 |
MUR
4 - 1
ZAR
58%
20%
22%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Espanyol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 1944 |
RSO
1 - 1
ESP
46%
21%
33%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1944 |
ESP
2 - 1
RSO
73%
15%
12%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1944 |
ESP
2 - 1
GIM
84%
10%
6%
|
80 | 54 | 26 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1944 |
GIM
1 - 0
ESP
24%
22%
54%
|
80 | 53 | 27 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1944 |
ESP
2 - 1
GIM
85%
10%
6%
|
80 | 53 | 27 | 0 |