Real Murcia vs Espanyol B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.6%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
20.2%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 1999 |
LEV
2 - 0
MUR
64%
23%
14%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1999 |
VAL
1 - 2
MUR
47%
26%
27%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Jan. 1999 |
MUR
2 - 0
GAV
48%
25%
26%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 1998 |
ONT
1 - 1
MUR
44%
27%
29%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1998 |
MUR
2 - 0
YEC
61%
22%
17%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Espanyol B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 1999 |
RCD
0 - 4
CAR
43%
25%
32%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1999 |
RCD
0 - 3
GRA
44%
29%
28%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Jan. 1999 |
PAL
2 - 2
RCD
39%
28%
33%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1998 |
RCD
0 - 1
GAN
59%
24%
17%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 1998 |
RCD
5 - 1
HOS
54%
26%
21%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | +1 |