Real Murcia vs Ensidesa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.8%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.3%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.9%
9.3%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 1976 |
MAL
5 - 2
MUR
66%
22%
13%
|
61 | 76 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1976 |
MUR
3 - 1
CAD
51%
25%
24%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 1976 |
CAS
2 - 0
MUR
60%
24%
16%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 1976 |
MUR
0 - 2
FCB
63%
22%
15%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 1976 |
OSA
2 - 1
MUR
55%
24%
21%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Ensidesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 1976 |
REC
1 - 0
ENS
64%
23%
13%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1976 |
ENS
2 - 1
MAL
29%
32%
39%
|
55 | 77 | 22 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 1976 |
CAD
2 - 0
ENS
74%
18%
8%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 1976 |
ENS
1 - 0
CAS
35%
29%
36%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 1976 |
FCB
4 - 1
ENS
72%
18%
10%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | -1 |