Real Murcia vs Elche analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
21.7%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2001 |
MUR
1 - 0
EIB
50%
27%
23%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2001 |
EXT
2 - 0
MUR
55%
25%
20%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2001 |
MUR
0 - 1
CDT
35%
27%
38%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2001 |
ULP
2 - 1
MUR
32%
28%
41%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2001 |
MUR
0 - 0
CCF
56%
25%
20%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Elche
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2001 |
RJA
3 - 1
ELC
48%
27%
25%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2001 |
ELC
2 - 0
EIB
46%
28%
26%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2001 |
REC
0 - 0
ELC
61%
23%
16%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2001 |
ELC
3 - 1
EXT
36%
28%
36%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2001 |
LEV
3 - 3
ELC
67%
20%
13%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | 0 |