Real Murcia vs Elche analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.4%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.5%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.9%
30.9%
Draw
0-0
13.8%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30.9%
31.1%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
20.1%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 1972 |
SEV
1 - 1
MUR
79%
15%
7%
|
56 | 74 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1972 |
MUR
2 - 1
VAD
49%
28%
23%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1972 |
VAL
0 - 0
MUR
57%
26%
17%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 May. 1972 |
AFC
1 - 2
MUR
26%
33%
42%
|
55 | 27 | 28 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1972 |
MUR
2 - 1
RJA
77%
16%
7%
|
55 | 42 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Elche
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 1972 |
ELC
3 - 0
HER
64%
23%
13%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1972 |
CDT
0 - 0
ELC
42%
30%
28%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 1972 |
ELC
3 - 2
CUL
62%
23%
15%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | +1 |
| 21 May. 1972 |
ELC
3 - 0
PON
57%
26%
18%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 May. 1972 |
CAS
0 - 0
ELC
46%
29%
25%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |